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Tag Archives for " trading system "

A Complementary Approach To Trading Technical Indicators

In the October issue of Futures magazine, author Jean Folger discusses an important aspect in selecting two or more indicators when developing a trading system. While I don’t recommend simply combining indicators to create a trading system, and I don’t think that’s what Folger is suggesting either, when there comes a time to introduce two or more technical indicators to […]

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Simple Shorting Strategy

Over the years I’ve looked at several very simple long strategies that were published in the book, “Short Term Trading Strategies That Work” by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez. Those articles include the following long strategies: Double Seven Strategy RSI(2) Strategy VIX Stretch Strategy RSI And VIX Strategy Buried within Connors and Alvarez’s book you will […]

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World’s Simplest Trading System

a-tree-on-the-horizon

Here’s the system: At the end of every month, if the index is above its 10-month simple moving average: the portfolio is 100% in the market if the index is below its 10-month simple moving average: the portfolio is 100% in cash  And that’s it. So, if we take the FTSE 100 Index as an […]

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Avoiding Stock Market Crashes with the Hi-Lo Index of the S&P500

This daily indicator is calculated as the ratio of the number of S&P500 stocks that have reached new 3-month-highs minus those that have reached new 3-month-lows, divided 500. Exiting and entering the stock market according the indicator’s signals would have avoided major drawdowns of the market during the backtest period from Jan-2000 to Aug-2015. Switching according to the signals […]

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Dual Momentum – The Famous 5 Portfolio

This article describes a Dual Momentum study over a multi-asset ETFs basket with a new attempt to improve this well-known investing style. Dual Momentum strategies rely on two different very simple filters: absolute momentum and relative momentum. Absolute momentum (rule 1) is a trend following filter used to switch any selected assets that have a […]

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The Death Cross – What You Need To Know

How well does the Death Cross or the Golden Cross predict future market behavior? One way to see is to create a simple trading system based upon the the Death Cross and Golden Cross signals. Using EasyLanguage it’s simple to create a trading system that is always in the market switching between a long position and short position based upon a moving average crossover. Check out the performance summary. You might be surprised!

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The Top Three Pitfalls of Stock And ETF System Development

During my nearly 25 years of experience in the trading business, I have talked to many traders about system development. Futures trading systems and back-adjusted contacts are fairly well understood. Recent issues with the pits closing and markets being only electronic have created some issues but it’s still relatively straight forward to design a trading […]

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Backtesting A Basic ETF Rotation System in Excel – Free Download

Some Background: Let’s face it, technology has made it possible to access a wide range of tools for developing, backtesting, and optimizing systems. However, a simple (but powerful) tool like Excel is a great way to validate a trading system. In this example we’re going to be keeping things really simple and backtesting a monthly […]

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Improving The Simple Gap Strategy Part 2

In the previous article, “Testing A Simple Gap Strategy“, we were looking at two other filters in an attempt to improve the Gap #1 strategy. The first filter was a day-of-the-week filter while the other filter was based upon the size of the gaps. These filters were tested on our in-sample data segment and appeared […]

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Backtesting the MAC-System – How Long is Long Enough?

Most of us entrust our savings to financial organizations in the belief that this will provide us with better investment results than we could have achieved ourselves. These companies advocate a buy-and-hold strategy of bond- and stock funds, charge fees, and usually perform poorly. A convenient way to improve on buy-and-hold and to do better […]

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