Tag Archives for " seasonality "

Seasonality in the Bond Market? You Bet!

For those who are willing to see it, there is strong evidence that reasonably persistent seasonal trends exist in the stock market (see here, here, and here). But what about the bond market? Do seasonal trends exist there? Consider the following and decide for yourself. Junk vs. GNMA “Junk” bonds (more tactfully referred to as […]

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Market Seasonality Study

May is just about over and our seasonality indicator  recently exited a long position on May 18, 2017. This turned our Seasonality Bias, found on our State of U.S. Markets webpage, from green to red. At this time two of  the three indicators are red (Short-Term Trend and Seasonality Bias) which warns of possible weakness over the coming weeks […]

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Seasonality And The Ivy-10 Portfolio

As the common saying states, “Sell in May and go away.” As we are now in early August our seasonality trigger has recently triggered a sell signal. So, through May, June and most of July we continued to hold on our position. If you receive our free weekly newsletter you were alerted to the seasonality switch […]

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