Tag Archives for " ES "

Market Seasonality Study

May is just about over and our seasonality indicator  recently exited a long position on May 18, 2017. This turned our Seasonality Bias, found on our State of U.S. Markets webpage, from green to red. At this time two of  the three indicators are red (Short-Term Trend and Seasonality Bias) which warns of possible weakness over the coming weeks […]

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The Christmas Strategy Remains Bullish

With Christmas about four weeks away, I thought it would be interesting to see how the S&P behaves in the days just before Christmas. Do the days just before this holiday tend to be bullish, bearish, or neutral? To test the market behavior just before the Christmas holiday I will use the S&P Cash index back […]

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Simple Shorting Strategy

Over the years I’ve looked at several very simple long strategies that were published in the book, “Short Term Trading Strategies That Work” by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez. Those articles include the following long strategies: Double Seven Strategy RSI(2) Strategy VIX Stretch Strategy RSI And VIX Strategy Buried within Connors and Alvarez’s book you will […]

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The Double Seven Strategy

It’s time to look at another simple trading system which can be found in the book, ”Short Term Trading Strategies That Work” by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez. In this article we are going to look at the Double 7 strategy. This is a simple strategy that can be applied to the major market indices such as DIA, DOW and QQQ. […]

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Two Dimensional Market Environment Filter

In this article I’m going to demonstrate a technique to help adapt your trading systems to the changing market conditions. In a previous article entitled, “Trend Testing Indicators“, I tested several indicators that could be used to divide the market into two modes: bullish and bearish. These two modes were then used to dictate how […]

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Using System Parameter Randomization To Estimate Future Returns

You just spent a ton of time creating a trading system and being very careful not to over-optimize. You then tested it on the out-of-sample data segment and the performance looks good. What’s next? Jump right into the live market? Maybe. But instead, you would like to perform one more test called System Parameter Randomization. The article, System Parameter […]

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When To Go Short: S&P Intraday Price Study

When To Go Short: S&P Intraday Price Study

This article is going to be an extension of a previous article where we performed an intraday price study. We do this by exploring different market sessions to determine if we can find an edge for a possible intraday trading system. If you have not read the previous article, When To Go Long, I urge you […]

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When To Go Long: S&P Intraday Price Study

In this article I would like to perform an intraday price study to explore the intraday action of the market to determine if we can find an edge. I’m going to be using the S&P E-mini futures market, but the principles here could be applied to any market. In particular, I’m interested how different times of the day affect different […]

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Seasonality S&P Market Session

In a recent article, Seasonality Study, I took a look at the classic seasonality effect as seen in the U.S. markets. Briefly recapping that article, it shows that the trading days between November through May appear to hold significant gains in the market while the trading days between June and October hold far less profit. In this article I […]

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