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Tag Archives for " Automated Trading Development "

System Performance and Confidence Interval

When you review the performance of a trading model, how do you know it’s worth trading for? How do you know it’s the right system for you? How confident are you that it will continue to profit in the future? When it comes to evaluating your trading model there are many factors to take into account. […]

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Testing Market Regime Indicators

Often when designing a system it’s important to keep the big picture in mind. What is the overall market doing? The most simple way to accomplish this is to break the market into two regimes: bullish and bearish. We are all aware that price action is a mirror of human psychology of market participants, therefore […]

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Strategy Testing – Violating These Steps Will Damage Your Account

One of the most rewarding experiences for a TradeStation trader is to pick up a performance report that proves their great strategy idea is indeed a profitable strategy. Strategy testing done properly, as is outlined in this article, can verify the efficacy of your trading strategy and give you confidence to start trading it. But be forewarned, […]

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Simple Shorting Strategy

Over the years I’ve looked at several very simple long strategies that were published in the book, “Short Term Trading Strategies That Work” by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez. Those articles include the following long strategies: Double Seven Strategy RSI(2) Strategy VIX Stretch Strategy RSI And VIX Strategy Buried within Connors and Alvarez’s book you will […]

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The Double Seven Strategy

It’s time to look at another simple trading system which can be found in the book, ”Short Term Trading Strategies That Work” by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez. In this article we are going to look at the Double 7 strategy. This is a simple strategy that can be applied to the major market indices such as DIA, DOW and QQQ. […]

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Step One In Building An Intraday Trading System

If you have been reading System Trader Success for a while you’re probably familiar with how I develop trading systems. The very first step is to come up with a simple idea to act as the seed or core of your trading system. I call this your key concept. This key concept is a simple […]

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Two Dimensional Market Environment Filter

In this article I’m going to demonstrate a technique to help adapt your trading systems to the changing market conditions. In a previous article entitled, “Trend Testing Indicators“, I tested several indicators that could be used to divide the market into two modes: bullish and bearish. These two modes were then used to dictate how […]

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Finding Out What Works, And What Doesn’t Work

Many traders who try system trading have previously had difficulty at discretionary or manual trading. Most of these folks eventually recognize the benefit of trading a system with well defined rules – a system that has performed well in the past. It is nice to know a trading approach has historically worked, but as with […]

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Trade Recorder Function And Strategy

When developing, testing, or simply tracking an existing trading system it can be helpful to have each individual trade exported to an Excel file. Such data can be useful in analyzing the system performance. For example, the data can be used to calculate the trading system’s Expectancy and Expectancy Score. Or, the data could be […]

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Using System Parameter Randomization To Estimate Future Returns

You just spent a ton of time creating a trading system and being very careful not to over-optimize. You then tested it on the out-of-sample data segment and the performance looks good. What’s next? Jump right into the live market? Maybe. But instead, you would like to perform one more test called System Parameter Randomization. The article, System Parameter […]

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