The Bullish Outside Month

I came across an article over at the blog, Jay On The Markets, that talked about applying a bullish outside indicator on a monthly chart. The article I was reading is entitled, “One Sign That the Bull May Still Have Legs​”. In this article Jay talks about the incredible run the U.S. broad market has experienced […]

Continue reading

Intermarket State Divergence

For the past 20 years I had been teaching my concept of Intermarket Divergence for generating trading signals. You can learn about this concept in a previous article, “Intermarket Divergence – A Robust Method for Signal Generation”. I developed this concept because most of my intermarket work was based on the future’s market and using […]

Continue reading

Battle of the Oscillators…Round 2

Oscillator

In a past article, Predictive Indicators written by John Ehlers, he highlighted a unique indicator used to time market cycles. This indicator is a heavily modified Stochastic Oscillator and was demonstrated on the S&P. In this article, I want to put John’s Oscillator to the test by comparing it to another popular indicator Backtesting Environment for […]

Continue reading

Down Days Trading Model

I’ve written a lot about the 2-period RSI indicator popularized by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez. This indicator highlights significant pullbacks which can often be buying opportunities within major market indexes like the S&P.  Pullbacks in the market are a result of the market closing down. That means, today’s close is lower than the open. […]

Continue reading

Best Times To Day Trade

TimingMoney

If you are developing a trading system to trade intraday charts you might want to know when are the best times to day trade. This article is aimed at those who enjoy opening and closing a trade within a day. That is, those of you who are day traders that end the day with your […]

Continue reading

Risk-Based Position Sizing

Let’s start with a thought experiment. Let’s say we have two traders who are each given identical trading systems to execute on the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY).  Because both systems are identical copies of an automated trading system, both trading systems generate the same buy/sell signals, use identical stop loss and trailing stop parameters.  These two […]

Continue reading

Improving The Moving Average Crossover System

Let’s take a look at a simple moving average crossover system and see if we can improve it. Specifically, can we improve the moving average system’s performance by reducing the number of whipsaws during those dreaded range bound markets? Whipsaws occur when a market moves from a trending mode to a consolidation mode. During this […]

Continue reading

Hedging a $500k Portfolio With Optimal Puts

Hedging a $500k Portfolio With Optimal Puts

A reader recently emailed me, asking how he could hedge a “typical $500k mutual fund portfolio”. I’m going to walk through a step-by-step example of doing that in this post.Step One: Choose A Proxy Exchange-Traded FundIf you own a portfolio of stocks or stock funds, you can hedge that portfolio against market risk by buying […]

Continue reading
>