Are your backtest results fooling you?

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Have you ever started trading a strategy that performs well in the backtests but delivers a very different result when you begin trading it with real money?Could your backtest reports be fooling you by indicating a strategy is great but really only showing you part of the overall picture?How do you give yourself a better chance of developing […]

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Finding The Optimal Period

Today’s topic is on finding the optimal periodicity for the RSI indicator and the techniques should apply to other sorts of indicators as well. The good news is that it won’t require any rocket science. John Ehlers has written a lot about this topic, and his articles spurred my interest in it, which frankly I […]

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Two Swing Trade Systems – Part 2

Yesterday I discussed two swing-trade systems that work pretty well in out-of-sample data. While each works differently, they overlap enough that you don’t get any benefit from running them both at the same time. One great thing about these two systems is that they’re dead simple to manage. Trade at the open or the close, […]

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Two Swing Trade Systems (Part 1)

In my recent posts I’ve made reference to various swing-trade systems I’ve developed, which I’ve used as data to discuss things like correlation, diversification, and the value of leveraged ETFs. I’ve had a number of people say, “Hey, what are these systems you’re referencing?”. The short answer is: they’re not something I’m discussing publicly. “But that’s […]

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Discover Best Trading Rules with Perceptron Search

Every system developer has a list of rules and indicators that they want to test out. The problem every developer faces is narrowing down that list of rules and indicators to the select few that are best worth focusing on. A quite similar and related problem that every developer has to deal with is having […]

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