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Category Archives for Strategies

Improving The Simple Gap Strategy Part 5

In the last article of the series, Improving The Simple Gap Strategy Part 4, I continued my attempt to improve the Simple Gap strategy by testing dynamic stops and targets. As it turned out these did not seem to offer much benefit. In this article I’m going to take what we have learned over the past couple of […]

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Improving The Simple Gap Strategy Part 4

In the last article of this series, Improving The Simple Gap Strategy Part 3, I tested a price-based filter on the in-sample data. This filter was based upon the price action of the previous trading day. During this test we discovered that if the previous trading day was a down-day we could open a Simple Gap trade today. […]

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Improving The Simple Gap Strategy Part 3

In the last article in this series, Improving The Simple Gap Strategy Part 2, I tested two filters on the OOS sample data. The first filter was a day-of-week (DOW) filter which did not produce decent results.  The second filter, Gap Size, did show promising results. Reviewing my notes from years ago, I also discovered that the size […]

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A Different Kind of System…

So I’ve got this great new system I wanted to share: it wins 57% of the time with a great sample size of 915 trades, only risks a meager $100 a trade, has a max drawdown of $700, has made money 9 out of the past 10 years, has a nice steady equity curve, and […]

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Improving the Simple ETF Rotational Trading Model

In last week’s article called, “Backtesting A Basic ETF Rotation System in Excel – Free Download“, Dan presented a simple rotational trading model which anyone could implement given a little knowledge in Excel. What I love about trading models like this is the simplicity. So often simplicity trumps complication. Simple systems often have one important characteristic. […]

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Backtesting A Basic ETF Rotation System in Excel – Free Download

Some Background: Let’s face it, technology has made it possible to access a wide range of tools for developing, backtesting, and optimizing systems. However, a simple (but powerful) tool like Excel is a great way to validate a trading system. In this example we’re going to be keeping things really simple and backtesting a monthly […]

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Ivy-10 Portfolio 2014 Update

It’s been a year since I’ve updated the performance of this portfolio so here it goes! What is the Ivy-10 Portfolio? Back in 2012 I finished reading a very interesting book called, “The Ivy Portfolio”. This book was written by two money managers, Mebane Faber and Eric Richardson, who work at Cambria Investment Management. The authors […]

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Connors 2-Period RSI Update For 2014

With the year 2015 only being a few days old, it’s time to look at the very popular 2-period RSI trading method by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez. We all know there are no magic indicators but there is an indicator that certainly acted like magic over several decades. What indicator is it? Our reliable RSI indicator. The […]

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Improving The Simple Gap Strategy Part 2

In the previous article, “Testing A Simple Gap Strategy“, we were looking at two other filters in an attempt to improve the Gap #1 strategy. The first filter was a day-of-the-week filter while the other filter was based upon the size of the gaps. These filters were tested on our in-sample data segment and appeared […]

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Improving The Simple Gap Strategy, Part 1

Let’s try to improve upon the gap strategy that was provided by Ben Little’s article entitled, “Testing A Simple Gap Strategy.” In this article Ben demonstrated a simple trading model, called Gap Fade 31, based upon the opening gap in the S&P futures market. This was the first gap based article on System Trader Success […]

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