Category Archives for Market Studies

Is The Christmas Season Bullish For U.S. Markets?

With Christmas just a few days  away , I thought it would be interesting to see how the S&P behaves in the days just before Christmas. Do the days just before this holiday tend to be bullish, bearish, or neutral? To test the market behavior just before the Christmas holiday I will use the S&P Cash index […]

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Creatures of Habit

human or algorithm executing entries and exits

“Creatures”, in this case =  human or algorithm executing entries and exits.I was searching for a generic photo that has the different days of the week, but in different languages, when I came across this graph, which shows historical Days of Week averages of patients waiting for CT scans… which you may think has absolutely […]

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Market Seasonality Study

With November almost over I thought it would be a good idea to review our Market Seasonality Study. If you will recall, back on May 18 of this year we closed our or seasonality trade in anticipation for a traditional weak period of the stock index markets. That is, the months of May, June, July, August, […]

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Seasonality in the Bond Market? You Bet!

For those who are willing to see it, there is strong evidence that reasonably persistent seasonal trends exist in the stock market (see here, here, and here). But what about the bond market? Do seasonal trends exist there? Consider the following and decide for yourself. Junk vs. GNMA “Junk” bonds (more tactfully referred to as […]

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