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Category Archives for Indicators

Battle of the Oscillators…Round 1

In a recent article, Predictive Indicators written by John Ehlers he highlighted a unique indicator used to time market cycles. This indicator is a heavily modified Stochastic Oscillator and was demonstrated on the S&P. In this article, I want to put John’s Oscillator to the test by comparing it to another popular indicator used for timing […]

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Predictive Indicators

INTRODUCTION Technical traders understand that indicators need to smooth market data to be useful, and that smoothing introduces lag as an unwanted side effect. We also know that the market is fractal; a daily interval chart looks just like a weekly, monthly, or intraday chart. What may not be quite as obvious is that as […]

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The Better Rotation Indicator

The Better Rotation Indicator uses 8 major ETFs to track Global Macro trends. This indicator helps visualize the rotations from one Global Macro asset class to another – from unloved and over-sold to hot and being chased by the herd. Right now (4Q 2016) we’ve got a rotation taking place as Government Bonds get overtaken […]

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Testing Laguerre RSI Entry and Exits

In a previous article I took a look at an indicator called the Laguerre RSI. The Laguerre RSI (LRSI) was authored by John Ehlers. You can read about the Laguerre filter in his article, “Time Warp – Without Space Travel“. Within the previous article I was comparing the LRSI to the standard RSI. I did this by creating […]

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When I start to write a blog post, usually my process is this: Come up with a really bad pun for the title. Write the rest of it. Bad puns are an important part of finance, and life in general. A blog reader contacted me recently to chat about various technical analysis indicators, and one […]

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The Laguerre RSI vs Classic RSI

John Ehlers is a name you’ll run across when you start your journey into testing various indicators and filters to be used in your trading models. I remember reading about the Laguerre Filter and Laguerre RSI many years ago when they first appeared on the scene. At the time I was not nearly into quantitative […]

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Down Days Trading Model

I’ve written a lot about the 2-period RSI indicator popularized by Larry Connors and Cesar Alvarez. This indicator highlights significant pullbacks which can often be buying opportunities within major market indexes like the S&P.  Pullbacks in the market are a result of the market closing down. That means, today’s close is lower than the open. So, […]

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Capture The Big Moves!

Wouldn’t it be great to have an indicator to help tell you when we are in a major bull or bear market? Imagine if you had a clear signal to exit the market on January 19, 2008 before the major market crash. Then the same indicator told you when to get back into the market […]

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Looking Into The Ulcer Index

Investors utilize a variety of performance and risk metrics to evaluate strategies. These numbers provide a summary of what happened to the strategy historically and can be useful to quickly compare different strategies. To use these statistics effectively, it is helpful to look at some of the nuances of those frequently cited and cases where […]

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The MVCI (Whatever That Means) Indicator

Some people tell me that I have “too much time on my hands” because I spend so much time “crunching numbers”. I tell them, “That’s ridiculous, I don’t have any time on my hands because I am so busy crunching numbers”. (That usually shuts them up. At least for a little while). In any event it […]

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