All posts by Jay Kaeppel

Seasonality in the Bond Market? You Bet!

For those who are willing to see it, there is strong evidence that reasonably persistent seasonal trends exist in the stock market (see here, here, and here). But what about the bond market? Do seasonal trends exist there? Consider the following and decide for yourself. Junk vs. GNMA “Junk” bonds (more tactfully referred to as […]

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Using Metals to Trade Bonds

Sometimes things in the financial markets are pretty obvious if one is willing to see them.  Despite all of the angst that has been exhausted since July of 2016 – when the S&P 500 Index broke out to a new all-time high – regarding the 2016 election, the economy, interest rates and the “ultimate” effect […]

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The MVCI (Whatever That Means) Indicator

Some people tell me that I have “too much time on my hands” because I spend so much time “crunching numbers”. I tell them, “That’s ridiculous, I don’t have any time on my hands because I am so busy crunching numbers”. (That usually shuts them up. At least for a little while). In any event it […]

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The 40-Week Cycle Revisited

As I mentioned last time around, when it comes to analyzing the financial markets, I am a proud graduate of “The School of Whatever Works.” In my youth I “wrote down” a lot of interesting analysis ideas (that’s how we did it back then, sadly). Whenever I would hear or read of a new market […]

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