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All posts by System Trader Success Contributor

A Semi-automated Trend Line Trading Strategy

The chart below illustrates user drawn trend lines controlling a semi-automated strategy to execute the desired trades: (1) a sell stop order entry (dotted red TL), (2) a profit target (solid green TL), and (3) a buy stop order as a stop loss (dotted green TL): Defining User-Friendly Trend Lines Classically drawn trend lines provide […]

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The Use of Recession Indicators in Stock Market Timing

In previous articles I showed that stock market timing models, such as IBH and MAC, can provide better returns than what one could get from a buy-and-hold strategy. However, investors with long-time horizons can also do well by only exiting the stock market at beginnings of recessions and returning to the market when the market is recovering. Recession […]

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Hedging a $500k Portfolio With Optimal Puts

A reader recently emailed me, asking how he could hedge a “typical $500k mutual fund portfolio”. I’m going to walk through a step-by-step example of doing that in this post. Step One: Choose A Proxy Exchange-Traded Fund If you own a portfolio of stocks or stock funds, you can hedge that portfolio against market risk […]

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Bulkowski’s Position Sizing

Position Sizing Background For most of my investing career, I used a fixed dollar amount for money management when buying stocks. At the beginning, it was $2,000. That bought me 100 shares of a $20 stock. I thought that’s the method that everyone used. As I learned about the stock market, I knew that there […]

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The Improved MAC-System

By Georg Vrba, P.E. of Advisor Perspectives In an earlier article, Beyond the Ultimate Death Cross, I showed how an investment strategy for the stock market based on signals from a simple moving-average crossover system – the MAC-system – can produce significantly better returns than buy-and-hold. This system’s returns can be further improved by linking it […]

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Is This The Best Stock Market Indicator Ever?

By  John F. Carlucci of Advisor Perspectives As we all know, the key to successful investing is very simple: “Buy low, sell high.” However, you enter a chaotic, fun-house world of uncertainty once you ponder the logical follow-up question: “When?” Investors desperate to solve this riddle have come up with solutions as varied as Fibonacci Analysis […]

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Nuts And Bolts: Expectation

When I first started trading nearly 100% of my focus was on the percentage of my trades that were winners (win probability).  After all, winning feels good and I wanted to maximize that much as possible.  But over time I learned that the win probability of a system is largely irrelevant (regardless of how good […]

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Trading Software For Mac – How to Trade Emini Futures using TradeStation and a Mac

If you are a Mac owner who has always wanted to trade Emini futures using TradeStation but thought it was impossible well, think again! It is possible to run TradeStation using a Mac computer without making any sacrifices to the performance of the trading software.

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